3 Free Positive Expected Value Plays for Thursday, July 11th, 2024
MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
For this Thursday’s MLB action, the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees presents an opportunity. The Yankees are currently favored, but historical data and recent form suggest placing a bet on the Red Sox moneyline has positive expected value (EV). The Red Sox have outperformed against right-handed pitchers, which lines up well against the Yankees’ probable starter. Additionally, the Yankees have shown inconsistent performance in recent games, making the +150 odds on the Red Sox particularly attractive.
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The NBA Summer League often features volatile outcomes, providing value betting opportunities. The 76ers are slight underdogs at +120, but their young roster has been impressive. Analysis of individual player stats and team synergy indicates that Philly’s lineup matches well against the Lakers’ less cohesive roster. Betting on the 76ers’ moneyline could potentially yield high returns with a positive EV.
Tennis: ATP Challenger Tour – Challenger Salzburg
In the ATP Challenger Tour, the match between Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz catches the eye, particularly in the over/under market. Given both players’ aggressive playing styles and recent match data, betting on over 22.5 games offers a valuable play. Priced at -110, this bet has shown positive expected value when similar conditions are met, supported by both players’ tendencies to engage in long matches. The statistics suggest a high likelihood of a closely contested match, favoring the over.
Exploring these targeted plays, sports bettors can capitalize on positive expected value opportunities and enhance their betting strategies for Thursday, July 11th, 2024.
