As the month of July draws to a close, the excitement in the UFC world is as high as ever with several captivating matchups on the horizon. As many octagon fans await the return of industry legends Conor McGregor, Jon Jones and Stipe Micoic, we aim for some betting value on some lesser anticipated matchups. Our team has meticulously analyzed the bouts, using tools like the Oddsjam odds screener to take advantage of positive expected value as usual. Through this approach, we’ve identified some promising picks for the upcoming fights.
Today’s Targeted Plays
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Event Details:
– Date: Saturday, July 27th
– Time: 10 PM EST
– Location: Manchester, England
– How to Watch: ESPN PPV
The headliner for UFC 304 features a highly anticipated rematch between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad. Their first encounter ended in a no-contest due to an accidental eye poke from Edwards, leaving fans eagerly awaiting this rematch.
Fighters:
– Leon Edwards (-230)
– Belal Muhammad (+211)
Leon Edwards is coming into this bout as the favorite with odds of -230. Edwards has been a dominant force in the welterweight division, boasting a diverse skill set that includes top-tier striking and grappling. On the other hand, Belal Muhammad is the underdog at +211. Muhammad has shown resilience and heart in his previous fights, and he’s known for his relentless pressure and cardio.
Our Pick:
Based on the positive expected value when this line was first posted, our pick is Belal Muhammad’s Moneyline at +200 for 1.0 unit, although the line has moved slightly against us. It is now found at +210 on platforms like Caesar’s, DraftKings, and ESPN Bet. Investing in Muhammad presents an opportunity to capitalize on great value in this closely contested rematch.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Event Details:
– Date: Saturday, August 3rd
– Time: 3:00 PM
– Location: Abu Dhabi
– How to Watch: ESPN+/ABC
This UFC Fight Night features multiple intriguing bouts, especially this strawweight matchup leading up to the main event.
1st Matchup: Godinez vs. Dern
In this bout, Loopy Godinez takes on Mackenzie Dern in a battle of styles that should be fascinating to watch.
Fighters:
– Loopy Godinez (+100)
– Mackenzie Dern (-110)
Godinez is a slight underdog at +100. She is known for her aggressive fighting style and striking capability. On the other hand, Mackenzie Dern, initially available at +125, has seen her line move to -110, making her a slight favorite now. Dern’s Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background makes her one of the most dangerous submission artists in the division.
Our Picks:
– We initially wagered 5.0 units on Mackenzie Dern at +125.
– An additional wager of 2.0 units was placed when the line shifted to +100.
Currently, you can still bet on Dern at -110 on Bet365. These initial wagers positioned us well to leverage the positive expected value as the lines moved.
Main Event: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
The main event features a clash between the cousin of future UFC Hall of Famer Khabib Nurmagomedov Umar Nurmagomedov and UFC veteran Corey Sandhagen. This fight promises high-caliber action and technical mastery.
Fighters:
– Umar Nurmagomedov (-225)
– Corey Sandhagen (+200)
Nurmagomedov, favored at -225, brings a well-rounded skill set that includes wrestling, striking, and relentless pressure—attributes that have made the Nurmagomedov name synonymous with dominance in MMA. Corey Sandhagen, the +200 underdog, is a dangerous striker with exceptional reach and unorthodox techniques that have troubled many opponents.
Our Pick:
We placed 1.0 unit on Corey Sandhagen at +200, a line that is still available on FanDuel. Betting on Sandhagen offers an opportunity to profit from a fighter who has the skills and experience to upset the favorite.
Using the Odds Screener on Oddsjam
For sports bettors, the odds screener on Oddsjam is a valuable tool that simplifies the process of creating optimal plays. It aggregates odds and identifies the best value picks you can combine to form a potentially lucrative bet.
Conclusion
July is closing with a bang in the UFC world, and August is already set to pick up the momentum. With critical matchups lined up and strategic bets placed, this is the perfect time to immerse yourself in the excitement and potential rewards that UFC betting offers. Stay informed, bet wisely, and enjoy the fights!
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