The UFC is back with another electrifying event, and the anticipation is through the roof! UFC 304 features two Championship fights with major implications for the second half of the year and beyond for the UFC. The undercards also promise to deliver pulse-pounding action, jaw-dropping knockouts, and nail-biting submissions. What makes watching the fights even more thrilling? Placing some strategic parlays to heighten the stakes! For UFC 304, we’ve used Oddsjam Parlay Builder to craft two enticing parlays that cater to both the cautious bettor and the daring risk-taker.
The Safe Bet: DraftKings 3-Leg Parlay Boosted to +107
Making money is fun so we used the larger limit on this DraftKings parlay. Boosted to +107, it’s designed to provide a solid return without too much sweat risk.
Bet 1: Manel Kape vs Muhammad Mokaev – Over 1.5 Rounds
Manel Kape (19-6) and Muhammad Mokaev (11-0) are both formidable fighters known for their endurance and strategic gameplay. Betting on this fight to go over 1.5 rounds feels like a solid choice. Both athletes tend to pace themselves and look for the right moment to strike, making it likely that the battle will stretch beyond the midway mark of the second round.
Bet 2: Nathaniel Wood Moneyline
UFC 304 will feature a thrilling bout between Nathaniel Wood and Daniel Pineda. English featherweight Nathaniel Wood, known as ‘The Prospect,’ has been in the UFC since 2018, while veteran fighter Daniel Pineda has had two stints in the organization since 2012, alongside competing in Bellator and PFL. Wood moved up to the featherweight division in 2022. Both fighters are finishers; however, Wood has gone to decision in his last six fights, contrasting Pineda’s brawler style with a short average fight time. This clash of styles will be a highlight, especially with Wood competing in Manchester for the first time. The Englishmen is one of the heaviest favorites on the card and rightfully so.
Bet 3: Sam Patterson Moneyline
Sam Patterson has an MMA record of 11-2-1 and fights as an orthodox at 170 lbs with a reach of 78″. Kiefer “BDK” Crosbie has a record of 10-4-0, stands 5’11”, and has a 70″ reach. Patterson connects on 2.54 significant strikes per minute, with a 38% accuracy, while Crosbie lands 8.10 strikes per minute at 66% accuracy. Defensively, Patterson absorbs 3.41 strikes per minute, defends 49%, whereas Crosbie takes 6.02 strikes, defending 50%. Patterson excels in takedowns, completing 1.19 per 15 minutes at an 85% success rate, and attempts 3.6 submissions per 15 minutes. Crosbie’s takedown and submission stats are lower. Patterson won his last fight via rear naked choke, while Crosbie lost by the same method.
The Longshot: FanDuel 5-Leg Parlay Boosted to +1610
Bet 1: Sam Patterson – Method of Victory: Submission
See our notes above about Sam being a heavy favorite. He is also a submission specialist with his last victory coming by rear naked choke. Two of his recent victories came by submission in the first round.
Bet 2: Mohamed Mokaev Moneyline
Muhammad Mokaev (11-0) faced a challenging bout against former title contender Alex Perez but secured another step towards the Flyweight Championship with a strong performance. Dominating more with each fight, Mokaev has shown improved fight IQ and decision-making. At just 23 years old, he has refined his fighting style into a no-nonsense approach aimed at finishing fights.
Mokaev is set to face dangerous striker Manel Kape (19-6). He has improved his striking defense and excels at securing takedowns, landing nearly six per fight. With solid grappling skills, Mokaev remains focused on turning the match into a jiu jitsu contest, constantly seeking submission finishes.
Bet 3: Preston Parsons vs Oban Elliot – Over 2.5 Rounds
Oban Elliott, also known as ‘The Welsh Gangster,’ is set for his 13th professional MMA fight, holding a record of 10 wins and 2 losses since his 2017 debut. He will face Preston Parsons from Jacksonville, Florida, who has an 11-4 record. Elliott feels he hasn’t reached his peak yet. Both fighters are known for their resilience and counter-attacking skills, suggesting this might be a long match. Despite this, Parsons remains the favorite.
Bet 4: Paddy Pimblett vs King Green: Fight to End in Decision/Points
The matchup between Green and Pimblett is drawing attention, but there are doubts about Pimblett’s actual skill level despite his favorable treatment from promotions and judges. Critics point out his lack of high-level skills and basic fight processes, along with his tendency to leave his chin exposed. Although Pimblett uses his platform to address mental health issues, his depth as a fighter is questioned. Conversely, Green is seen as an underrated but skilled counter-striker who has faced tougher breaks in his career. Should the fight progress to later rounds, Green could begin to expose Pimblett’s weaknesses.
Bet 5: Tom Aspinall – Method of Victory: KO/TKO
Tom Aspinall is a powerhouse in the heavyweight division, boasting knockout power that can end a fight in an instant. Betting on Aspinall to win via KO/TKO leverages his explosive striking ability. If he lands his heavy shots, his chinny opponent Curtis Blaydes is likely to hit the mat, securing this Co-Main Event component of the parlay.
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