Las Vegas Aces F/C A’ja Wilson leads Team USA at the Paris 2024 Olympics
The USA Women’s Basketball team is set to go head-to-head against Japan in a game that’s sure to be one-sided with the line at -21.5 for Team USA. Scheduled for 3:00PM EST, this match-up offers some intriguing betting opportunities, particularly for our main strategy of finding positive expected value.
The standout pick here is USA -11.5 for the first half spread, which we were able to grab when the odds were sitting at +115 on BetMGM. Snagging this bet at +115 odds was a pretty sweet deal, especially when you consider that it translates to an +18.14% value compared to the current -122 line on Pinnacle. We also bet another unit on this line at +105. To tail this bet, click the image below and find the best line using Pikkit. As of writing this pick can still be found at -115 over on ESPN Bet, though probably not for much longer. ESPN tends to adjust quickly, given how sharp their lines are.
Most of the plays I go for are rooted in a positive Expected Value (EV), and this one’s no different. But it’s not just about the stats here—I have full confidence in Team USA’s ability to deliver. Historically, the US Women’s Team has been a powerhouse in international basketball, consistently dominating the courts.
Looking back, the USA faced Japan during the 2021 Olympic Games in Tokyo and handed them decisive losses in both the group match and the final. It’s not just a matter of winning; it’s about how convincingly they did it. Plus, let’s not forget that the American women have clinched the last seven Olympic gold medals. That’s no small feat and speaks volumes about their enduring excellence and dominance in the sport.
What truly sets the USA women apart is the sheer talent on their roster, bolstered significantly by their WNBA stars. Each year, the team seems to get stronger, and this year is no exception. With a formidable lineup that looks even more impressive than previous editions, they’re poised to continue their winning streak.
For those on the fence about sweating the full-time line, which is set at -21.5, consider the first half spread of -11.5 as a potentially less risky option. The Americans’ ability to establish an early lead is well-documented, making this our Positive EV Play of the Day.
