If you’re looking for Women’s NCAA Tournament picks for Saturday, we’ve got three sharp plays lined up as the tournament heats up. From major line movement in the Notre Dame-TCU game to an explosive Tennessee offense and a dominant UConn squad, there’s plenty of value on the board. Here’s what we’re eyeing on Saturday with updated lines and betting insights.
Notre Dame vs TCU – Line Movement: ND -4.5 to -8.5
This one caught our attention early. Notre Dame opened as a 4.5-point favorite but the line has jumped all the way to -8.5 at most books. That’s a big move, and while the Irish have looked solid through the tournament, that kind of jump suggests heavy public or sharp action on ND.
But don’t sleep on TCU. The Horned Frogs are coming off one of their best defensive performances of the season and have the size to match up well in the paint. If they can keep turnovers down and control the tempo, this one could stay tighter than the number suggests.
Pick: TCU +8.5
Tennessee vs Texas – Line Movement: UT -8.5 to -7.5
This is one of the more intriguing matchups of the day. The line has ticked down from Texas -8.5 to -7.5, despite the Longhorns’ strong tourney run. But Tennessee brings the heat offensively – literally. The Lady Vols are leading the nation in scoring, and they’re coming into this one with confidence after torching their last two opponents.
Texas has been balanced on both ends, but if this turns into a shootout, Tennessee has the firepower to keep up – or even pull the upset.
Pick: Tennessee +7.5
UConn vs Oklahoma – Line Holding Steady at -14.5
The UConn Huskies are doing what UConn does – dominate March. They’ve covered easily in their first two tournament games and haven’t missed a beat despite dealing with injuries all season. Paige Bueckers is locked in, and the defense is clamping down just as much as the offense is clicking.
Oklahoma has had a nice run, but this is a step up in class. Unless they shoot lights out from deep, it’s hard to see them hanging for four quarters.
Pick: UConn -14.5
Final Thoughts
With sharp line movement and elite teams in action, Saturday’s women’s slate offers real value. Keep an eye on how these lines shift closer to tip-off – and as always, shop around for the best number.
For more picks and daily betting insights, check out the rest of the blog at TJP Sports Bet.
